On May 9, 2025, the US Administration for Children and Families (ACF) announced that the number of children entering foster care had continued to decrease in FFY 2023. Entries to foster care dropped from an estimated 264,000 in FFY 2018 to 175,282 in FFY 2023–a drop of 33.6 percent. But foster care is not the only service provided by child welfare agencies after an investigation or assessment finds that a child needs protection. Instead of being placed in foster care, some children and their families receive “in-home services,” which aim to ameliorate the risks to their safety without removing them from their homes. With the large drop in child removals, it is natural to ask whether home-based services are being provided to more families as fewer children are placed in foster care. Unfortunately, the data to answer to that question is not available on a national basis or for most states.
Clearly we cannot determine what is happening to the children who “would have been placed in foster care” under previous policies and practices. But at least we can ask if declining foster care placements are being offset by the opening of more cases for in-home services–which some states call Intact Family Services, Family Maintenance, or Family Preservation Services, among other terms. These are the services that are provided to children and their parents after an investigation or assessment determines that the situation does not meet the criteria for foster care placement (usually imminent danger to the child) but that the family does need services and monitoring to reduce risks to the children. In a major investigation, Texas Public Radio (TPR) found that a 40 percent drop in child removals by the state’s Department of Family and Protective Services (DFPS) over a six-year period was not accompanied by an increase in family preservation services (as they are called in Texas) but instead by a “radical curtailment” of such services. Children were left in dangerous homes with no services or monitoring.
For many years, many powerful groups like Casey Family Programs blamed the alleged lack of federal reimbursement for services to families, like drug treatment, mental health care, and parenting support, for the removal of many children who could have been helped at home. As I have pointed out, this argument was largely spurious because states were already providing these services using Medicaid and other sources. In any case, the passage in 2018 of the Family First Prevention Services Act (FFPSA) was supported by advocates as a means to alleviate this alleged problem by making funds available for these in-home services. Given the repeated use of that narrative by proponents of FFPSA, it would have been logical to mandate that states report on the numbers of children receiving such in-home services, the characteristics of these children and the services they receive. But such a mandate was not included in the Act.
States are currently required to provide child welfare data to the Children’s Bureau via two separate systems. They must submit foster care and adoption data through the Adoption and Foster Care Analysis and Reporting System (AFCARS). A separate system, the National Child Abuse and Neglect Data System (NCANDS), includes data on abuse, neglect, and child protective services. NCANDS includes numbers of children receiving “postresponse services,” or services provided as a result of needs discovered during an investigation or assessment. But these numbers are provided in a form that is neither meaningful nor comparable to the AFCARS data, and therefore does not allow the comparison of foster care and in-home numbers for each state and the nation.1
Not only does the federal government not ask the states for meaningful data on in-home cases; most states do not provide such data on public-facing platforms. A review of reviewed publicly available data for the 12 states with the largest number of children in foster care yielded only two (California and Texas) that provided enough data on in-home services to answer the question of whether declines in foster care removals have been offset by the opening of in-home cases. The results are discussed below.
California
California has far more children in foster care than any other state, 43,095 children at the end of Federal Fiscal Year 2023, which was 12.6 percent of the national total, according to AFCARS data. Fortunately, California Child Welfare Indicators Project (CCWIP), a collaboration between University of California at Berkeley and the California Department of Social Services, provides excellent data on all child welfare services provided in California. The CCWIP dashboards include data on the number of entries into foster care and the opening of Family Maintenance cases, as in-home cases are called in California. According to CCWIP, entries into foster care declined from 26,766 in Federal Fiscal Year (FFY) 2019 to to 17,071 in FFY 2024. Rather than increasing to make up for the drop in children entering foster care, the number of children with Family Maintenance case openings as the first service component declined from 25,887 to 18,441 over the same period. The total number of children with cases opened for child welfare services dropped from 44,747 to 29,936 over the five-year period–a drop of 33.1 percent.2 Rather than a shift from foster care to in-home services, there has been an reduction in the number of children reached by child welfare services.

Texas
Texas has the third largest state foster care caseload, behind California and Florida. The number of Texas children entering foster care dropped from 16,028 in 2021 to 9,623 in 2022, an incredible 40 percent, and then stayed about the same for the following two years. Confirming the conclusions of TPR, the number of children entering family preservation services dropped from 51,806 in FY 2020 to 39,655 in FY2021 and then to 26,132 in 2022–half of the 2020 total. The drops in foster care and in-home case openings were presumably related to a new Texas law that changed the definition of neglect and put restrictions on child removals. In addition, a 2020 policy change restricted eligibility for Family Preservation Services in Texas, according to the TPR investigation. TPR found that the number of families that DFPS rejected for family preservation services jumped from 300 to about 2,800 in the first year the policy took effect. Perhaps in an effort to rectify the extreme curtailment of services, the number of children with in-home case openings increased in 2023 and 2024, while the number of children entering foster care remained stable. Nevertheless, the overall trend over time was a decrease in foster care entries, and in children with new family preservation cases.3

A look at the two figures above shows a major difference between the California and Texas. In California, substantially more children entered foster care (17,071) than entered family maintenance services (13,473) in FFY 2024. But in Texas, the number of children entering family preservation services (42,855) was more than four times the number of children entering foster care (9,220) in FY 2024. This vast difference makes clear that nationally we have no idea whether more investigations result in foster care or in in-home services. And we don’t know whether the number of children with new in-home cases has increased as the number being placed in foster care has gone down. Moreover, we don’t know what kind of in-home services parents and children are getting. Are children in California’s Family Maintenance Services getting a similar package of services as those in Texas’ Family Preservation Services? We just don’t know. That is not an acceptable state of affairs, especially given the use of federal funds for these services.
In order to make the needed information available, new legislation might be required. Section 479 of the Social Security Act required the establishment of a system to collect data on foster care and adoption in the United States. AFCARS was created based on general guidelines laid out in the law and more detailed regulations promulgated by HHS. But now it is time to expand AFCARS to include data on child welfare services delivered in children’s homes when a case is opened for the provision of such services. The same sorts of data on entries, exits, caseloads, demographics, and reasons for the initiation of services as is required for foster care should be included for in-home servcies. Required variables should also include the types of services provided to each family and whether they are voluntary or mandatory with court involvement.
While data from Texas and California suggest that child welfare has been reducing its footprint since 2018, we cannot assume that this is happening nationwide without data. That is why ACF should request that Congress act to require that states submit data on in-home cases. Even with this information we will not know how effective in-home services are in protecting children andhelping their parents ameliorate the conditions that put their children at risk; there is very little research that addresses this question. More and better research on that issue is needed. But not even knowing whether children who would have once been placed in foster care are now being protected at home while their parents are helped to make them safe is simply not an acceptable situation.
Notes
- The numbers provided include foster care as well as in-home services. The number of children provided is a duplicated count. And the number of children receiving each type of services is not provided. ↩︎
- These totals are lower than the sum of the children with foster care entries and in-home case openings, presumably because some children entered in-home services and were placed in foster care in the same year. ↩︎
- Texas does not provide the total number of children entering services of any type as does California. Adding those entering foster care to those entering in-home services would produce an inflated estimate since we do not know the number of children who may have entered both types of services during the year ↩︎



