by Marie Cohen
This post was originally published on Lives Cut Short website.
The Children’s Bureau’s eagerly awaited Child Maltreatment report has been published and the child welfare newsletter The Imprint lost no time in announcing that Maltreatment Reports, Victims and Fatalities All Down in 2024. Others are sure to follow with commentaries celebrating a 10 percent drop in the number of child maltreatment fatalities. This would be great news if it were true, but making any conclusion based on these data is not warranted. The state-by-state data show that the reductions reflect changing policies and practices, as well as reporting problems, rather than actual reductions in child maltreatment deaths.
On January 8, 2025, the Administration on Children and Families (ACF) of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services published Child Maltreatment 2024 (CM2024), its latest compendium of data on states’ responses to reports of child abuse and neglect. These annual publications, produced by the Children’s Bureau of ACF, are based on data that states submit to the National Child Abuse and Neglect (NCANDS) data system. CM2024 provides data for FFY 2024, which ended on September 30, 2024. Based on reports from all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico, CM 2024 reports that the number of child maltreatment fatalities dropped from 1,979 or 2.68 per 1,000 children in Federal Fiscal Year (FFY) 2023 to 1,773 or 2.41 per 1,000 children in FFY 2024. Of course,we should celebrate if these numbers are believable. But that is not the case.
An analysis of last year’s Child Maltreatment report explained how the numbers in the annual federal reports cannot be taken as a good estimate of child maltreatment deaths for any given year. It is widely accepted that these numbers greatly understate the actual number of deaths due to child abuse or neglect. Well-functioning child death review teams identify many more child maltreatment fatalities than are reported to NCANDS. Based on only publicly available sources, Lives Cut Short has counted more child maltreatment deaths than those reported to NCANDS in more than half of states in either 2022 or 2023. The undercounts in NCANDS are due to a variety of state policies and practices including restrictive definitions of child maltreatment fatalities, failure to consult all available sources, restrictions on which reports are investigated, and constraints on finding maltreatment in fatality investigations.
Of course it is theoretically possible that while NCANDS underestimates child maltreatment deaths, the trends it finds over time are still valid. But state-by-state data clearly disprove that thesis. The 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico reported 206 fewer child maltreatment deaths in FFY 2024 than in FFY 2023. Five states–Texas, Maryland, North Carolina, Illinois and Virginia–together account for a decrease of 210 fatalities–more than 100 percent of the total decrease for the year overall. Explanations from all of these states indicate that the drops they reported reflect factors other than the actual number of child maltreatment deaths.
| Child Maltreatment Fatalities, FFY 2023 and 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| State | FFY 2023 | FFY 2024 | Total Decline, 2023-2024 |
| Illinois | 83 | 66 | 17 |
| Maryland | 83 | 46 | 37 |
| North Carolina | 107 | 46 | 61 |
| Texas | 187 | 107 | 80 |
| Virginia | 55 | 40 | 15 |
| TOTAL (5 states) | 515 | 305 | 210 |
| United States | 1,979 | 1,773 | 206 |
Source: US Department of Health and Human Services, Child Maltreatment 2024, January 2026.
The number of child maltreatment deaths in Texas that were reported in Child Maltreatment 2024 fell from 187 in FFY 2023 to 107 in FFY 2024, an enormous drop. In its own annual report on child fatalities and near fatalities for FY 2024, the Texas Department of Family and Protective Services (DFPS) reports a smaller but still substantial decrease from 164 child maltreatment fatalities in state fiscal year (SFY) 2023 to 99 in SFY 2024.1 The number of investigated child fatalities fell from 690 to 587–a decline of 587, or 14.9 percent. Out of the investigated families, the number of fatalities where abuse and neglect was confirmed fell from 164 or 23.7 percent of fatalities investigated to 99, or 16.9 percent of fatalities.
In its report, DFPS suggests that the decline in both investigations and maltreatment findings reflects a change in the definition of child neglect adopted by the Legislature that took effect in FY 2022. This change required the agency to find that a parent exhibited “blatant disregard” for the consequences of an act or failure to the act that results in harm or immediate danger to a child. DFPS believes this law affected investigations and dispositions in both FY 2023 and FY 2024. (NOTE: This does not explain the drop in findings of abuse, however.)
DFPS also reported that two other factors affected the fatality numbers. Starting in 2022, the agency changed its screening policy so that reports involving a child fatality but include no explicit concern for abuse and neglect are not investigated if the reporter “or first responders” had no concern for abuse or neglect. According to DFPS, this contributed to the decrease in investigations and ultimately in fatalities reported both in FY 2023 and in FY 2024. DFPS also reported that in FY 2024 it imposed an additional level of review for certain investigations that found neglect (like those involving drowning or unsafe sleep) to ensure that the investigator had followed the new neglect definition incorporating “blatant disregard.” This change almost certainly contributed to the reduced number of maltreatment fatalities found.
North Carolina reported a large drop in child maltreatment fatalities from 107 in FFY 2023 to 46 in FFY 2024. In response to a question about the cause for this large decrease, a spokesperson for the North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (NCHDHHS) provided the following explanation, which makes clear that the reported decline in child maltreatment fatalities in FFY 2024 is not valid and should not have been included in CM 2024:
NCDHHS is aware of probable discrepancies in the state’s historic child fatality data, particularly in 2023-2025. Prior to 2025, the state was using an outdated database platform that became increasingly unstable and subject to error. Recognizing this, NCDHHS made significant investments in designing and building a new, comprehensive Child Welfare Fatality Information System that launched for state users in 2025. While data from the old database was transferred to the new system, these numbers likely include inconsistencies and should not be used to analyze trends in child fatalities.
Maryland reported 46 child maltreatment deaths in FFY 2024, compared to 83 in FFY 2023.The large drop in Maryland’s child maltreatment fatalities was predictable in advance and is as irrelevant to actual child deaths as those in Texas and North Carolina. In 2025, Maryland’s child maltreatment fatality reports to the Children’s Bureau made the news when a reporter discovered the state had the second highest number in the country. Department of Human Services (DHS) officials soon realized that the agency had for years been reporting the number of death cases investigated for abuse and neglect, whether or not they were confirmed as due to maltreatment. Maryland reported this issue in its commentary to CM2024, stating that it had submitted correct information for 2024. However, Maryland’s entries for previous years have not been corrected, resulting in the misleading appearance of a large reduction in child maltreatment fatalities between FFY 2023 and FFY 2024.
Illinois reported a smaller but still sizable decline from 83 child maltreatment fatalities in FFY 2023 (itself a drop from 110 in FFY 2022) to 66 in FFY 2024. In its commentary, DCFS reported that the decrease in confirmed maltreatment fatalities in both years stems from the introduction of an administrative review process for sleep-related deaths. For any sleep-related death allegation, a senior administrator reviews the investigation “to ensure consistent evaluation of whether the sleep-related death included evidence of blatant disregard,” referring to the parent’s disregard of the danger to the child of unsafe sleeping arrangements. This is the same concept that is included in Texas’ new definition of child neglect. DCFS reports that this new review process has continued to result in fewer sleep-related deaths being “indicated” as due to maltreatment.
Virginia reported a significant decrease in child maltreatment fatalities from 55 in FFY 2023 to 40 in FFY 2024. In its commentary, the Virginia Department of Social Services suggests that this decline was due to a decrease in fatality investigations in FFY 2024, which in turn stemmed from “more local agencies having overdue investigations that were not closed timely or in accordance with VDSS guidance.”
The explanations provided by Texas and Illinois have something in common. In both states, the decline in confirmed child maltreatment fatalities was the intended result of policies–like a changed definition of neglect in Texas and the imposition of administrative reviews to enforce such a restrictive definition in both states–that were designed to find fewer child maltreatment fatalities. Those policies and practices are only part of an overall effort designed to reduce the involvement of child welfare agencies in the lives of families in those two states and in many other states around the country. So it is not surprising that the number of reports accepted for investigation and the number of children found to be victims of abuse or neglect also declined in FFY 2024.
In conclusion, five states account for over 100 percent of the decline in child maltreatment fatalities reported in Child Maltreatment 2024. All of these states have acknowledged that the decline in fatalities that they reported for FFY 2024 was caused by the fatality determination and reporting process itself, not real trends in child maltreatment deaths. The bottom line is that the numbers contained in the Children’s Bureau’s Child Maltreatment reports are not reliable for determining national or state-level trends in child maltreatment deaths, or in child maltreatment in general. Responsible reporters and researchers should know by now not to rely on these data, but they continue to do so, confusing the public and depriving policymakers of the information they need to make good decisions.
- It is not clear why the SFY numbers are so different from the FFY numbers, as the two years overlap by 11 months, DFPS has not yet responded to a request for an explanation. ↩︎
Child Welfare Monitor 